Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7eb3f7121954c5a7e114e69f8442849c1194e504dedf8a5e1e43d48e2eb168d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 2,308$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.39 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 1,247$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 570.99$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.98 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 570$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 359.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 349.21$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 276.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 31c | 241.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 198.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 196.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 27c | 174.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 16c | 154.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 138.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 36c | 107$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 46c | 98.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 77c | 84.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 81.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 28c | 80.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 78.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 76.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 51c | 61.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…c346backed Yes | 79c | 48.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked Yes | 58c | 43.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 42c | 39.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Yes | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 73c | 13.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.