TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auroraof Aurora, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora57c52,788$30,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,471.555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BetBoom Team42c28,854$12,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,193.012231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BetBoom Team45c18,470$8,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,304.9122647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BetBoom Team8c16,406$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora53c15,000$7,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,050.9933746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team42c12,615$5,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,324.3854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team40c10,240$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.0710741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora60c9,323$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.4953451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed BetBoom Team37c8,809$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,253.847143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team44c7,614$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.6466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora58c4,767$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.0232854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Aurora58c4,516$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.1596357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora59c4,098$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.3255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9933850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed BetBoom Team47c3,665$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.533339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Aurora56c3,042$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.6312948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BetBoom Team39c2,973$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0236851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team42c2,398$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.432,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed BetBoom Team38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7609557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team41c1,940$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.8989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x028a…f485backed BetBoom Team7c1,843$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.481526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team25c1,841$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.072,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed BetBoom Team47c1,703$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.391030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed BetBoom Team41c1,687$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team48c1,527$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.3811854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora58c1,519$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.978060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed BetBoom Team34c1,464$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2533041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed BetBoom Team41c1,322$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54214443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team42c1,300$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed BetBoom Team7c1,289$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.139434%32 W · 62 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora58c1,260$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.4785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9988166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed BetBoom Team44c1,186$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.4226351%134 W · 129 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora48c1,172$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.741,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora74c1,089$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1438049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Aurora57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4305839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa940…f8b8backed Aurora80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked BetBoom Team42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked BetBoom Team44c951.84$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.314538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed BetBoom Team42c950$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39910141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team30c922.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.659250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Aurora59c842.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5523459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0e…317bbacked BetBoom Team14c826.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed BetBoom Team61c821.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.678957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Aurora50c706.89$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.899053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora50c699.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35279559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team20c686.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.471,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed BetBoom Team45c663.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.434035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed BetBoom Team61c652.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BetBoom Team47c650$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0537047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BetBoom Team46c640.58$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed BetBoom Team48c600$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28560251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team32c599.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5236051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BetBoom Team53c562.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed BetBoom Team62c557.43$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.819959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team34c538.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0861548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team30c505.09$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.761,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed BetBoom Team44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.996046.7%28 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team42c476.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team23c474.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7233645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team41c474.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.812,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team52c455.67$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed BetBoom Team47c425.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team46c414.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5648352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed BetBoom Team47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed BetBoom Team34c380.61$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12815345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…47e7backed BetBoom Team8c371.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Aurora61c360.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.664663%29 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora56c354$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.761,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed BetBoom Team42c350$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BetBoom Team50c314$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15799844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Aurora60c289.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7315452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team36c284.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed BetBoom Team43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.428244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed BetBoom Team57c263.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15055457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.168854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad1…2eccbacked Aurora68c245.76$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Aurora57c218.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.363655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Aurora56c212.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4413752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed BetBoom Team43c210.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9928549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Aurora47c210.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6864149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed BetBoom Team49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10045940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Aurora54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929430.9%29 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed BetBoom Team58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Aurora59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8250757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161b…2e89backed BetBoom Team50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Aurora80c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4112061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Aurora60c198.68$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6973554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Aurora52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed BetBoom Team53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b8…1762backed BetBoom Team51c188.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed BetBoom Team54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Aurora45c184.94$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.025166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team48c182.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7255251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed BetBoom Team6c178.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2916821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed BetBoom Team46c176.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.648150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.