TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Aurora, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora60c10,472$6,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,273.4933746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BetBoom Team40c9,870$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,921.7722647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora60c6,122$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.8955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team44c2,677$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.5410741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed BetBoom Team45c2,454$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.987143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team40c2,229$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.1154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed BetBoom Team47c2,121$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.3821264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Aurora61c1,793$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10012948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora48c1,752$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.591,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Aurora60c1,462$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.7535758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked BetBoom Team40c1,033$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.814538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team44c1,014$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.4486949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora47c943.03$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.511,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team48c709.17$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.642,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team77c682.3$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15759250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Aurora63c632.9$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed BetBoom Team40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36031245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Aurora57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3428957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed BetBoom Team42c598.57$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1710141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Aurora60c543.33$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3261,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BetBoom Team43c470$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.937047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed BetBoom Team63c400$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14960251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Aurora4c383.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora58c374.38$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed BetBoom Team37c330$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.91030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Aurora62c330$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed BetBoom Team44c299.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.992171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team37c275.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.389440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Aurora63c253.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604663%29 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed BetBoom Team39c240.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7818444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed BetBoom Team45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2255457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed BetBoom Team48c211.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7215545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Aurora50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Aurora51c199.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.191,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Aurora55c195.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077560%45 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed BetBoom Team43c187$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5934561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team49c179.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0174549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5949…5fc4backed Aurora33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.56229%18 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed BetBoom Team41c119.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.519045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BetBoom Team43c116.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6273554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team40c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.636051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed BetBoom Team42c106.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8615033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed BetBoom Team50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e8a…42a0backed BetBoom Team65c87.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Aurora43c84.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9112252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Aurora42c82.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.682,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15f…7deebacked BetBoom Team42c82.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.825552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Aurora62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Aurora60c72.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4323957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Aurora55c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.367853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Aurora62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed BetBoom Team41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9811757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Aurora55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Aurora55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Aurora61c55.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7115452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115f…bfe1backed Aurora56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Aurora40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Aurora55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.566848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Aurora60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3097142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Aurora60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…5473backed BetBoom Team39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ba…9fecbacked BetBoom Team41c48.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8110546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed BetBoom Team59c47.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4626958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61be…7ce5backed Aurora30c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed BetBoom Team38c43.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2711841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked BetBoom Team46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4837456.4%211 W · 163 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x675d…8f7abacked BetBoom Team66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.72650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3606…96f1backed Aurora57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked BetBoom Team40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Aurora58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040539.3%159 W · 246 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed BetBoom Team45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3340047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Aurora57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.137851.1%193 W · 185 L-1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Aurora60c27.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed Aurora61c27.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Aurora58c26.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.346555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Aurora60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Aurora60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Aurora59c21.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68754%47 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.