CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9832a4e39a9f12e08f166dc22b00a6657744011769183dcca700e61b9288d39d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nexusof Nexus, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 2,563$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Nexus | 32c | 1,571$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.92 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Nexus | 55c | 1,230$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.65 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bushido Wildcats | 4c | 990.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Nexus | 56c | 735.26$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Nexus | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…b573backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 488.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 415.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 346.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nexus | 53c | 334$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Nexus | 55c | 323.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nexus | 48c | 290.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Nexus | 63c | 213.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus | 47c | 211.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nexus | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 173.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nexus | 60c | 167.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nexus | 60c | 152.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Nexus | 56c | 124.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Nexus | 59c | 120.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Nexus | 55c | 111.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nexus | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 107$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Nexus | 78c | 90.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…c346backed Nexus | 79c | 74.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Nexus | 64c | 71.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nexus | 54c | 70.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Nexus | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nexus | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nexus | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nexus | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Nexus | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Nexus | 55c | 48.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nexus | 55c | 46.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…0a82backed Nexus | 74c | 33.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…7ee4backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…6d41backed Nexus | 78c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerNexus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.