CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d88a6be964055233e1340914acbb45b2eb575e1fd9eace27850d4ebdb453b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vasco Esportsof FOLHA AMARELA, Vasco Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3532…3711backed Vasco Esports | 44c | 3,705$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 2,687$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.05 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 48c | 1,628$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 40c | 1,253$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vasco Esports | 43c | 1,212$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.54 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed FOLHA AMARELA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Vasco Esports | 38c | 840.13$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.13 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…a67ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 56c | 536.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 39c | 464.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 7c | 444.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Vasco Esports | 40c | 369.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.94 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FOLHA AMARELA | 40c | 322.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed FOLHA AMARELA | 52c | 267.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Vasco Esports | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…cdedbacked Vasco Esports | 40c | 230.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 189.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 172.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOLHA AMARELA | 48c | 111.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vasco Esports | 42c | 102.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed FOLHA AMARELA | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…c346backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 99.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Vasco Esports | 66c | 85.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Vasco Esports | 57c | 71.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Vasco Esports | 47c | 67.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Vasco Esports | 36c | 65.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 46c | 59.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…e7c3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked Vasco Esports | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Vasco Esports | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 44c | 43.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…4f73backed FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 35.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 26.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 44c | 23.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…0f54backed FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 19.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 WinnerVasco Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.