CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ab174dc184d5caf164099a5a6d09bf51d501769f5f1489fec6fef2ff144490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Crashers, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Academy | 57c | 1,624$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 49c | 1,328$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Crashers | 54c | 1,275$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.86 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Academy | 51c | 1,174$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Crashers | 59c | 1,163$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.65 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Crashers | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked paiN Academy | 79c | 938.86$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.67 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 51c | 881.37$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Crashers | 36c | 461.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…e12dbacked Crashers | 44c | 338.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…47afbacked paiN Academy | 65c | 316$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy | 41c | 315.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked paiN Academy | 56c | 290.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Crashers | 31c | 289.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…8116backed Crashers | 33c | 282.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Crashers | 52c | 264.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Crashers | 42c | 210.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed paiN Academy | 50c | 198.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Crashers | 62c | 197.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Crashers | 30c | 182.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crashers | 31c | 168.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Crashers | 64c | 153.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…f347backed paiN Academy | 51c | 143.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Crashers | 21c | 142.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7f…c203backed Crashers | 24c | 127.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa367…5376backed Crashers | 47c | 122.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…aa24backed Crashers | 17c | 99.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Crashers | 23c | 97.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…9c81backed Crashers | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Academy | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed paiN Academy | 51c | 93.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Crashers | 22c | 86.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed paiN Academy | 65c | 79.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Crashers | 61c | 77.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4df0backed Crashers | 50c | 62.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed paiN Academy | 66c | 61.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…e2d8backed Crashers | 58c | 60.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked paiN Academy | 56c | 60.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked paiN Academy | 68c | 56.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…626bbacked Crashers | 45c | 53.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed paiN Academy | 65c | 45.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Crashers | 47c | 42.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Crashers | 46c | 42.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed paiN Academy | 60c | 40.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Crashers | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…3c44backed paiN Academy | 77c | 36.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed paiN Academy | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed paiN Academy | 47c | 34.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…aa18backed Crashers | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed paiN Academy | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…6b69backed paiN Academy | 65c | 29.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 95 | 68.4%65 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed paiN Academy | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Crashers | 43c | 29.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy | 57c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Crashers | 47c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed paiN Academy | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Crashers | 57c | 19.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…269ebacked paiN Academy | 78c | 19.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked paiN Academy | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.