TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under77c14,999$11,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,549.29862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c3,286$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.811,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over70c2,874$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.364573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under31c2,067$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.035858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07010742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c1,985$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.241,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Under77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over24c1,249$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.995230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under74c999.97$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.983461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under73c999.58$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.9958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.447456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under22c672.69$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1616036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c649$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9460136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c640.15$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Under48c622.5$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under70c585$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.755949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over24c565$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Under77c538.61$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.731040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under75c537$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.729350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under23c533.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6943427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c499.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9620655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under45c429.81$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under73c387.53$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.95036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over69c369.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.71656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c368.4$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.46262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under57c350.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over33c323.75$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.161984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c315.06$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over27c250$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.55123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over67c244.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.783959%23 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under60c218.71$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.663262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under57c210$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.72630.8%8 W · 18 L-8.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over26c192.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.925547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6715236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1119652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over34c147$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.021994.7%18 W · 1 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under19c136.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9510339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Under72c116.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.921952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4a…b153backed Over27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over44c108.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.446956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over26c107.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6910039%39 W · 61 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over68c103.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.541741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under14c101.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.211653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Over24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over24c99.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.715932.2%19 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over37c99.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.463953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under24c89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.615936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e2…658bbacked Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under23c81.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.163056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.084942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under23c75.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3117053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under58c73.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.695246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over34c73.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+127.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under58c72.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.069246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4911952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Under41c67.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d8…30d9backed Under75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under61c65.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.29749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under76c63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8829746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over26c60.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.497027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over51c58.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1227450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Under76c58.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.316867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Under61c57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Under77c51.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+86.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under77c51.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.998868.2%60 W · 28 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under56c47.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over27c40.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7420639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa16f…540abacked Over26c38.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over67c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.228846.6%41 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Under75c31.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.281353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Under64c29.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.972661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.793378.8%26 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed Under77c26.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.151668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7510760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f60…257cbacked Under77c24.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under77c22.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5912352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over55c19.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under76c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.728643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Under75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed Under76c15.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4d…b339backed Over72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.