TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over68c35,504$24,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,361.353941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over69c25,543$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,043.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under32c18,855$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.728543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under32c14,511$4,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.332951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under32c9,801$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.4758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c9,750$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.111,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c6,280$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.831,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under34c4,467$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9607750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under32c2,000$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.8424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under29c1,663$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9716036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49513644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under38c896$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.482437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under34c850$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29160%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under32c806$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.25230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c724.84$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over66c660.55$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.793450%17 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under32c513.53$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.465036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c507.58$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.587065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18522647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.553268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over67c447.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.436657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under33c445.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1478132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under33c350$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.523947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.534957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.699739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under27c286.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under32c277.8$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under34c179.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.27639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over66c152.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.012259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0610256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over66c147$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9810566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Under36c131.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+119.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over66c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.642365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under34c108.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.961844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c92.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.765050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.917667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over67c87.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.346065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…fb2dbacked Under33c86.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe24…b0acbacked Under17c80.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.850247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9210339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over65c76.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.520042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under37c69.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.95752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over67c69.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6116553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under33c59.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-80.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under33c57.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.996950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206141%25 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa9d…8ce0backed Under36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under34c54.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.617045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.961844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.458750.6%44 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4521443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under33c45.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123161.3%19 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over65c43.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.073060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Under35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae81…3ebfbacked Under33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over68c39.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.718339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…0720backed Under36c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over63c38.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.173366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49b9…1059backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Under33c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.453847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4415…b335backed Over66c34.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…f5d1backed Under36c33.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under33c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5616144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.774351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over65c30.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.774463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Over65c30.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.74450%22 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1c…efecbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b8…9e37backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca9…37d1backed Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over66c29.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.996867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4791…06b5backed Over65c23.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.