Champions League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b4d3b4a5c42d1772823a9edf5d05628bc6895bf3ffc1094f46d976dd1da2a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b50…0f56backed Yes | 58c | 17,210$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…92ccbacked No | 42c | 17,200$7,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 9c | 3,385$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 3,042$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 1,255$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 40c | 970.16$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.07 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 60c | 838.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 41c | 785.97$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.17 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 729$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 58c | 653.45$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 40c | 499.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 20c | 463.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 61c | 261.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 59c | 178$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 153.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 60c | 131.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Yes | 59c | 129.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…9749backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 57c | 124.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 43c | 116.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 101.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…72bdbacked Yes | 60c | 57.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb499…09d8backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 38c | 38.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 42c | 36.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…f01ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 42c | 33.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 43c | 28.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…710dbacked Yes | 59c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked No | 40c | 25.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.