TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c17,550$7,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,617.654,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under30c11,080$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.4890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c5,758$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.011,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over35c2,877$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.0513824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c2,703$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.679052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c2,629$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.43,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over41c1,850$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.982454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over53c1,569$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8613045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over76c1,553$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over76c1,403$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6123250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over51c1,036$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.641625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over79c999.99$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21013070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over50c973$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.511957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over50c968.59$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.591770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over78c900$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over76c829$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5337039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Under20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under57c725.39$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7915443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over34c595.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.885145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over63c577.81$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.791070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c573.47$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.351,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over61c542.17$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1819544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Over77c500$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under18c428.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.352,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over51c426$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.741266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under17c409.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over48c392.17$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.932748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over46c376$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over54c366.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.474768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over39c335.9$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over71c327.31$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Over68c316$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over47c307$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1915246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over31c273.52$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7320857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Over50c270.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.72373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Under73c265.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1943265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over76c252.3$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over54c240.89$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.46350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.22045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over53c232.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over29c227$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.171070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+74.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over63c218.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.623577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616845.8%77 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c193.73$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6642558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under57c187.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.852958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over54c187.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.167852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c179.49$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4930842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over38c162.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7317458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over66c152.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.93447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over74c152.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.515832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over57c143.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.771450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Under70c142.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under56c135.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over56c135$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.44847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0315034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under20c125.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c124.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c121.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9111741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.112142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over74c105$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Over49c102.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.03955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Over74c96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under65c93.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.443050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6f…5a01backed Over60c90.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.07887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over57c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.845100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+66.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7218656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over49c85.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.932948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over30c83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.192254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb7…4ef3backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over41c78.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0534050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over62c73.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over42c73.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over56c71.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.473441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.433737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x75bf…991cbacked Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+103.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over58c60.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2610155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over63c56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.724247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.