La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd687da9a073d4d45a1f0f4d22eb157b00a6593b171f68b174b7f5cbc34bfbf6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 20,279$11,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,592.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 15,666$9,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.61 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 23c | 8,666$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 23c | 4,364$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 4,347$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 48c | 3,685$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.85 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 41c | 2,866$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.78 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 2,290$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 1,367$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.78 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 31c | 1,193$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 40c | 1,056$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 77c | 1,010$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 956$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 10c | 861.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 60c | 832.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 38c | 791.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 40c | 673$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 18c | 506.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 23c | 504$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 55c | 500.09$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 472.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 60c | 391.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 39c | 384.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 357.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 59c | 290.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Over | 58c | 245.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 61c | 190$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 42c | 185$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 11c | 182.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 154.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 153$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Over | 60c | 118.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 106.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 39c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Under | 41c | 92.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Over | 58c | 87.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf653…d1d6backed Under | 78c | 85.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Over | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 14c | 79.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…bc06backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…ad5ebacked Over | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 52.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 78c | 51.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Under | 53c | 50.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Over | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…033dbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 60c | 40.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.