Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd7d456ef9b7e1350475d8a2398d9635e8bdf67ae135a27d87a0cc46beace7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7d1…8ad2backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 622.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 591.37$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 63c | 554.25$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 367.35$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 8c | 315.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 222.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 196.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 154.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Over | 58c | 146.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 52c | 89.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 68.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 59.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 46.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 24.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 64c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.