Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4553d4f8511ede719b9831d88cb860e894072a5bdbdc20ec4e7628f1049d1050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,115$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 1,514$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 1,037$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.42 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 591.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 68c | 443.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 59c | 425.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 22c | 181.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Over | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 71c | 141.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 119.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 20c | 110.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +207.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Under | 29c | 87.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 76.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 53c | 75.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 76c | 62.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 49c | 60.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…753cbacked Over | 79c | 27.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 78c | 25.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…e776backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…0facbacked Over | 79c | 23.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…e35fbacked Over | 79c | 22.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeea…d48bbacked Over | 79c | 21.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 78c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 1.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.