Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a411cee83d17fb9e1189ffcaaefb384b6e919f850661afcdc9f7a9f7fc50e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 43c | 7,050$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 4,751$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 1,520$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.7 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,429$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 71c | 1,405$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 16c | 644.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Under | 35c | 600$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 592.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.33 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 12c | 350$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 344.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 9c | 228.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Over | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 12c | 200.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 199.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 184.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 40c | 161.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 143.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 131.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 104.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 67c | 86.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 61c | 85.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 69c | 84.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 24c | 66.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 32c | 61.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Over | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 44c | 38.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 64c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 63c | 22.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 70c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…4dccbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)Salford City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.