Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0dd8895e564084f6f36ba0ffef52342b60be28478e0ae6e42efb6a5b5aefc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,646$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 75c | 1,440$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 1,101$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 45c | 999.28$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 58c | 862.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 621.27$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 35c | 592.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 47c | 509.3$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 502.73$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 18c | 408.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 33c | 304.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 58c | 300.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 265.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 239.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 75c | 199.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 155.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…8e4abacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 97.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…6596backed Over | 17c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Under | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 88.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 68.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 30c | 66.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 26c | 54.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 49.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 34.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Over | 75c | 28.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 66c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5this page
- Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.