TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7815…5400backed Yes7c974.49$64 inLost-$64.2780%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes9c645.23$57 inLost-$57.02137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-83.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969b…e85dbacked Yes12c556.57$68 inLost-$67.5250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes6c480.58$27 inLost-$27.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes4c325.58$14 inLost-$13.563616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c300$15 inLost-$15630%0 W · 63 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…5b5bbacked Yes11c278.74$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c3…7938backed Yes8c250$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes5c236.64$12 inLost-$11.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9c…8b6abacked Yes10c224.57$22 inLost-$22.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x327c…f1b0backed Yes10c208.18$21 inLost-$2140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe719…a934backed Yes14c204.78$29 inLost-$28.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked Yes7c199.99$13 inLost-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes12c164.33$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4536…70dfbacked Yes10c156.33$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c148.66$18 inLost-$17.842448.2%20 W · 224 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…bd91backed Yes15c132.85$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes11c122.84$14 inLost-$14.046123%14 W · 47 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f4…1a39backed Yes10c113.68$12 inLost-$11.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b1…f9d2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e6…24a1backed Yes19c99.43$19 inLost-$19.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed62…01d7backed Yes21c93.21$20 inLost-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Yes17c77.68$13 inLost-$13.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Yes14c70$10 inLost-$102744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…4359backed Yes72c69.44$50 inLost-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.