TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Orleans Privateers vs. Lamar Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Orleans Privateersof New Orleans Privateers, Lamar Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Orleans Privateers51c1,653$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.211,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lamar Cardinals64c1,570$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.413,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Orleans Privateers37c1,180$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.172,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New Orleans Privateers34c1,142$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.855,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked New Orleans Privateers28c718.27$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.311,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals62c666.8$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lamar Cardinals45c641.96$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.21,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed New Orleans Privateers38c578.1$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2926254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New Orleans Privateers34c524.52$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Lamar Cardinals63c504.69$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Lamar Cardinals44c503.04$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.032,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Lamar Cardinals61c468$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9825246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Lamar Cardinals66c447$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0213746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed Lamar Cardinals60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Lamar Cardinals60c370$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.54351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed New Orleans Privateers41c315.92$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Lamar Cardinals63c314.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New Orleans Privateers34c308.82$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.392,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Lamar Cardinals46c307.8$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lamar Cardinals4c250.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.154,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lamar Cardinals61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New Orleans Privateers40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Lamar Cardinals61c135$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3523754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lamar Cardinals45c121.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.751,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18b…2ef2backed Lamar Cardinals52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed New Orleans Privateers61c105.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3157655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lamar Cardinals50c98.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lamar Cardinals43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed New Orleans Privateers37c94.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Lamar Cardinals61c82.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lamar Cardinals63c77.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3217627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked New Orleans Privateers39c71.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.923141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Lamar Cardinals60c63.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Lamar Cardinals45c63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.351,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Lamar Cardinals66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lamar Cardinals28c59.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.541,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed New Orleans Privateers40c54.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5137835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed New Orleans Privateers37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…6324backed New Orleans Privateers41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Orleans Privateers36c44.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.181,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New Orleans Privateers40c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked New Orleans Privateers41c38.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked New Orleans Privateers29c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1320834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Lamar Cardinals61c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.748245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked New Orleans Privateers34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New Orleans Privateers38c29.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked New Orleans Privateers40c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Lamar Cardinals61c26.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2916746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Lamar Cardinals70c18.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.926549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.