Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f634bdf9d1b4f2709cb417de9796e3292189b158bbb899203c3fb7a572a3652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,589$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 431.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 331.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 170.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 65c | 141.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 139.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 133.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 53c | 71.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 63.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 50.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Mansfield Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.