Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x451365aa4d494e4fe0b1c574bb4e853a4cdfb8dfcf5ddb895c4b6d6c409b2cd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mansfield Town FCof Burnley FC, Mansfield Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mansfield Town FC | 62c | 1,025$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Burnley FC | 47c | 429.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Burnley FC | 34c | 335.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Burnley FC | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mansfield Town FC | 66c | 178.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Burnley FC | 58c | 172.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mansfield Town FC | 73c | 97.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Burnley FC | 54c | 92.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Burnley FC | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 50c | 86.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mansfield Town FC | 47c | 85.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Mansfield Town FC | 53c | 78.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Burnley FC | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Burnley FC | 53c | 75.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Mansfield Town FC | 55c | 71.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Burnley FC | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Burnley FC | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Mansfield Town FC | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Mansfield Town FC | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Mansfield Town FC | 54c | 54.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…db3dbacked Burnley FC | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mansfield Town FC | 51c | 44.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Burnley FC | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Mansfield Town FC | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Mansfield Town FC | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Burnley FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mansfield Town FC | 65c | 24.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.