Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a58a4d84aeefe021dbb331d3b9c5f20aeb7bcd2ba48c05672ac8e11ef58ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 4,395$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.48 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,101$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 46c | 700.92$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 570.11$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.94 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 259.3$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 35c | 238$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 150.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 135$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 36c | 129.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 54c | 51.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 51.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 54c | 31.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.