Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e10db6b586eda6cc29e1c93c217912d22ccb58aa08422e5bc435d058880983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 58c | 1,707$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.9 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 1,680$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.72 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 500.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 313.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Over | 54c | 186.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 50c | 150.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c02ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…5ab7backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dbe1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…6818backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Under | 52c | 96.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 92.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Over | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 18c | 80.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 54c | 67.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 51c | 67.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 60.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Under | 47c | 42.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…0e32backed Under | 44c | 40.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 32.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-19.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-20.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 143.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.