Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa9356331f6e28f8968d2930904f6fa326688df676c211dafe0d37cab2d18b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Syracuse Orange, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Syracuse Orange | 5c | 12,236$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 3c | 5,171$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 4,654$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Syracuse Orange | 6c | 3,620$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse Orange | 5c | 1,796$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Syracuse Orange | 3c | 1,566$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Syracuse Orange | 5c | 1,402$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…fd66backed Syracuse Orange | 7c | 1,400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Syracuse Orange | 5c | 1,356$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Syracuse Orange | 8c | 1,302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 1,185$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Syracuse Orange | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Syracuse Orange | 3c | 866.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 753.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Syracuse Orange | 8c | 615.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Syracuse Orange | 3c | 569.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…a69abacked Syracuse Orange | 5c | 396.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Syracuse Orange | 5c | 357.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 333.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 317$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…775ebacked Syracuse Orange | 3c | 314.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Syracuse Orange | 3c | 310.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Syracuse Orange | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Syracuse Orange | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Syracuse Orange | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Syracuse Orange | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-19.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-20.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 143.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.