Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bdf84d23184e3d2d02b4bc6b6d33b1e08ffee610aa5769fba5289080396604f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Over | 50c | 38,000$19,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,886.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 23,165$11,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,014.63 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 50c | 22,974$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,450.97 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 12,653$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…f0e9backed Under | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 2,332$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.5 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Under | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 1,399$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.89 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 1,087$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.24 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 999.25$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.62 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 140.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 70c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-19.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-20.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.