Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabcec542b0b58b1db48a5cddb294a26bee0b680cb81cdc7078977fb645e2393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Marshall Thundering Herd, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba7…4d1abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 2,450$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…120dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 1,814$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.28 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 45c | 1,542$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.58 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 1,510$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.28 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 55c | 1,413$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.03 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 64c | 947.92$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 63c | 830.3$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.15 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 60c | 721.13$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 80c | 658.19$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 537.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.79 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 519.51$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.17 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 14c | 507.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 434.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…8be1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 433.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 425.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…d96dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 412.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 25c | 311$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 299.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 17c | 288$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 77c | 256.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 34c | 212.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 55c | 178$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 23c | 144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 63c | 123.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 112.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 54c | 79.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 24c | 71.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…6fc4backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 61.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 59.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 53.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…6122backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 44c | 45.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 53c | 38.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 71c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 33.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 48c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 76c | 22.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersthis page
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.