Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aff4aac3a3b1c9646be98da51a016e5ca75db8ab730427a0870b1f712e5aa20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Saint Joseph's Hawks, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 45c | 501.69$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 55c | 495.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 57c | 402.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 43c | 351$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 50c | 108.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 99.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 42c | 41.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 37.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 49c | 23.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf942…b11cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-9.5)this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Joseph's HawksSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks: O/U 141.5Under won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks: O/U 143.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.