TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof Loyola Chicago Ramblers, Saint Joseph's Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c6,052$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.327450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c5,551$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.6789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c4,772$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.015,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c4,147$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers8c3,661$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers7c3,059$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.664,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers7c2,768$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c2,204$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.942,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c1,708$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.331,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers9c1,620$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6117627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c1,544$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c1,149$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers19c1,081$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3114940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c806.87$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.621,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c600$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c542.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.896538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c300.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.512,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c291.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.371,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers11c238.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers10c215.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2230%0 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c196.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.381,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c159.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.918844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c115.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+96.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c105.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c99.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9338837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers19c76.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c69.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c60.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c57.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2214049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Saint Joseph's Hawks80c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8715066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.620834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.