Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e6ff484043de24fc4a173b4e787fe302034d4064a906d1fa3ff8254e72b71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x845f…c13bbacked No | 1c | 32,026$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 14c | 16,103$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.43 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…a94bbacked No | 5c | 11,531$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 5c | 11,460$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.41 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 2c | 5,900$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 6c | 5,147$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 5c | 5,072$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…8519backed No | 4c | 5,064$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 8c | 4,998$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.04 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 4,835$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…0b2fbacked No | 4c | 4,278$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…9fdfbacked No | 2c | 4,192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 16c | 4,142$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.84 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 8c | 4,014$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…0f1cbacked No | 3c | 3,817$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +360.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…d4c2backed No | 3c | 3,619$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 23c | 3,030$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.23 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 3c | 3,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…c700backed No | 1c | 2,977$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…a21cbacked No | 18c | 2,834$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,731$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 2,711$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…d046backed No | 4c | 2,541$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 3c | 2,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…7cb7backed No | 4c | 2,491$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 19c | 2,434$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -12.7wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 75c | 2,336$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.54 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 2,323$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 6c | 2,079$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…78bebacked No | 4c | 2,052$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 22c | 2,006$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.14 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed No | 2c | 1,961$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 4c | 1,940$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 75 | 13.3%10 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed No | 10c | 1,874$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…e5ebbacked No | 9c | 1,721$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 1,682$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 7c | 1,580$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…1f9fbacked No | 6c | 1,544$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 18c | 1,529$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 77c | 1,437$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…0fb9backed No | 4c | 1,388$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcc…3e27backed No | 2c | 1,379$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 21c | 1,342$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.72 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…f4d1backed No | 1c | 1,335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 6c | 1,306$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed No | 5c | 1,263$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked No | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…86e4backed No | 9c | 1,167$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…9e9abacked No | 31c | 1,133$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 25c | 1,127$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.33 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 27c | 1,100$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked No | 3c | 1,044$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed Yes | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…fbf9backed No | 2c | 943.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed No | 5c | 916.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…05b3backed No | 6c | 899.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 4c | 878.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 3c | 814.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 16c | 787.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ed…b330backed No | 5c | 784.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 7c | 783.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…0b4dbacked No | 14c | 774.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 13c | 769.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…3137backed No | 3c | 754.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked No | 5c | 740$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…3484backed Yes | 75c | 732.27$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed No | 24c | 730.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…1e92backed No | 6c | 701.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…105ebacked No | 8c | 686.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…0f97backed No | 7c | 685.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…0628backed No | 3c | 675.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 11c | 674.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…16bdbacked No | 9c | 667.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 650.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed No | 2c | 650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 75c | 647.34$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…eacbbacked No | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…a91dbacked No | 8c | 599.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 598.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…23c3backed Yes | 78c | 592.45$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6543…ecbabacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed No | 12c | 579$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…fdadbacked No | 18c | 557.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 3c | 553.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 13c | 550$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed No | 16c | 538.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 5c | 532.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed No | 3c | 527.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 20c | 510.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed No | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +20.7wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…b99ebacked No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 7c | 499.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed No | 8c | 493.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?this page
- US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.