Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Denver Pioneers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a03d656b7805bf8b271c7ba526d1b43b94be29b36248a45963b4ed3327171a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Pioneersof Denver Pioneers, South Dakota Coyotes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed South Dakota Coyotes | 52c | 77,748$40,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,609.31 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Denver Pioneers | 47c | 35,010$16,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,380.09 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed South Dakota Coyotes | 52c | 13,878$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,216.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Dakota Coyotes | 54c | 4,379$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.1 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Denver Pioneers | 46c | 3,883$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 2,448$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed South Dakota Coyotes | 52c | 763.04$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Denver Pioneers | 49c | 399.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denver Pioneers | 45c | 316.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed South Dakota Coyotes | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Denver Pioneers | 51c | 188.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Dakota Coyotes | 47c | 173.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 52c | 133.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 118.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed South Dakota Coyotes | 49c | 111.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Denver Pioneers | 52c | 102.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 56c | 102.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Denver Pioneers | 51c | 94.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 55c | 78.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Denver Pioneers | 47c | 63.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed South Dakota Coyotes | 49c | 63.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Denver Pioneers | 32c | 45.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Denver Pioneers | 64c | 41.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked South Dakota Coyotes | 52c | 37.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Denver Pioneers | 46c | 32.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Denver Pioneers | 51c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 25.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 24.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Denver Pioneers | 52c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed South Dakota Coyotes | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-6.5)this page
- South Dakota Coyotes vs. Denver PioneersDenver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.