Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ea86243f0601f2f7630a43033b76f3ac8dc23c29fb40171ce75cb0f42c6586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof Northern Kentucky Norse, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 11,418$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.93 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 5,613$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.64 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 2,959$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.28 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 80c | 1,538$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 1,139$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.08 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 21c | 1,024$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 932.56$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 698.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 695.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 23c | 528.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland State Vikings | 19c | 335.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 307.24$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 299.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 199.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 198.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 182.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 12c | 180.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 21c | 152.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Cleveland State Vikings | 22c | 139.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 121.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 119.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 108.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 99.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 96.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 95.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 73.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 68.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 53.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 22c | 49.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…2a8ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 42.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 41.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 39.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 33.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikingsthis page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 162.5Under won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 163.5Under won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.