CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs ASTRAL (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcedfb31a7ededd660ec625c0dddee36944c67d835506abbff0b4f2f13e31d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof MINLATE, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ASTRAL | 47c | 15,000$6,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,020.81 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MINLATE | 54c | 4,938$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.68 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed MINLATE | 52c | 3,018$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.48 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MINLATE | 55c | 1,825$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.48 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MINLATE | 54c | 1,627$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.23 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked MINLATE | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 48c | 1,031$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked MINLATE | 54c | 904$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed MINLATE | 54c | 621.63$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.68 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked MINLATE | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed MINLATE | 52c | 323.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MINLATE | 54c | 317.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MINLATE | 54c | 312.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed MINLATE | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MINLATE | 55c | 285.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed MINLATE | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MINLATE | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 67c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed MINLATE | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ASTRAL | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MINLATE | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed MINLATE | 56c | 43.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked MINLATE | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…3bfdbacked MINLATE | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked MINLATE | 54c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.