MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc339ca3cd5b1a2e23db0c663dbeb08a32ca5cd3c95959a95a61a1f636d60d630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Samsung Lions, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 1,492$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 25c | 1,384$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.96 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 1,000$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Doosan Bears | 78c | 967.5$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 929$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.91 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 712.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 15c | 414.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 411.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…04fabacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 319.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 299.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 269.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 73c | 267$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 243$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 236$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 225.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 16c | 217.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 194$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Samsung Lions | 20c | 185.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 184$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Samsung Lions | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 108.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 93.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 76.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Doosan Bears | 31c | 73.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 50.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 48.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 46.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Doosan Bears | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 36.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 30.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 28.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 28.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 27.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…20b2backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…400bbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Doosan Bears | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Doosan Bears | 73c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…5f49backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.