TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9702…5f49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellienbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.06
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichailbacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.66
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Li vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauffbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Shymkent: Andrej Nedic vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$43.88
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.92
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$12.07
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieribacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Set 1 Winner: Ostapenkov vs Pieribacked Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Madrid Open, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Alycia Parks vs. Elina Avanesyan: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Dino Prizmic vs. Christopher O'Connell: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.61
Ksenia Efremova vs. Lulu Sun: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Madrid Open, Qualification: Viktoriya Tomova vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Madrid Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$7.18
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$12.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$14.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$14.16
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+111%+$32.28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$20.18
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$59.36
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Talita Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$15.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.