TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Soon-Woo Kwon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Soon-Woo Kwonof August Holmgren, Soon-Woo Kwon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren23c9,588$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.619,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Soon-Woo Kwon66c6,669$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.4748851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Soon-Woo Kwon73c5,740$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.4546473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren23c4,887$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.8711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c3,842$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.64,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed August Holmgren36c2,671$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.633737.1%125 W · 212 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed August Holmgren19c1,888$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.991,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b55…1ab9backed August Holmgren26c1,751$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.317335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed August Holmgren36c1,331$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1320844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed August Holmgren20c1,266$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.23,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed August Holmgren28c1,265$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.3825342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked August Holmgren17c1,220$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8838013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed August Holmgren30c979.37$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.041,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed August Holmgren32c900.28$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7518543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon75c829.73$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.354,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Soon-Woo Kwon68c731.15$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.977,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed August Holmgren29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.481,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49bc…5899backed August Holmgren33c657.12$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.942552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed August Holmgren32c609.46$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed August Holmgren25c594.06$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1728933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked August Holmgren32c587.51$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18822338.6%86 W · 137 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed August Holmgren27c501$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.941,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Soon-Woo Kwon69c478.18$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.547,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed August Holmgren31c468.2$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.649560%57 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed August Holmgren24c456.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed August Holmgren22c434.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3225957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Soon-Woo Kwon71c386.47$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0852155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked August Holmgren36c378.66$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5984963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c357$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c354.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3565157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed August Holmgren30c345.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.441926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Soon-Woo Kwon76c326.16$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.389,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c325.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.861,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed Soon-Woo Kwon75c307.46$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.919570.5%67 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked August Holmgren32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9214325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.171,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c280.05$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6318462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon71c252.88$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.471,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked August Holmgren26c243.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5560355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed August Holmgren30c239.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8561062.8%383 W · 227 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked August Holmgren22c215.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6610816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Soon-Woo Kwon77c205.73$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4117348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon70c202.48$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.066573.8%48 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed August Holmgren16c197.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked August Holmgren25c192.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7463052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked August Holmgren29c191.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5336852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed August Holmgren25c190.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7631463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked August Holmgren12c172.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.555022%11 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked August Holmgren32c150.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b9…9b4abacked August Holmgren17c128.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.423420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed August Holmgren18c121.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.412,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed August Holmgren29c116.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8370829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed August Holmgren29c115.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5110825.9%28 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Soon-Woo Kwon70c112.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7242358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Soon-Woo Kwon79c111.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.356,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed August Holmgren28c111.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.111,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5985568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed August Holmgren27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6943752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Soon-Woo Kwon71c101.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4342344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc3…70ddbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed August Holmgren29c99.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed August Holmgren31c97.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2573558.6%431 W · 304 L-26.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed August Holmgren22c96.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8769057.2%395 W · 295 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed August Holmgren23c93.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.653,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked August Holmgren21c91.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon80c90.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed August Holmgren19c88.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9218330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked August Holmgren27c87.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.712,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed August Holmgren22c83.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.421,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked August Holmgren30c83.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9116446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon74c82.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Soon-Woo Kwon76c81.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6121765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3947…b1e9backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c77.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked August Holmgren20c75.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1113033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked August Holmgren25c75.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.157052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2f1…1c7abacked Soon-Woo Kwon70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.043852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Soon-Woo Kwon78c69.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.951,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed August Holmgren30c65.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c65.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked August Holmgren23c64.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.833020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5615…e259backed August Holmgren30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.167669.7%53 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c63.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1491880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Soon-Woo Kwon69c61.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed August Holmgren29c61.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.787135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Soon-Woo Kwon78c52.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.316068.3%41 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f1…bc81backed August Holmgren30c51.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3370%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb915…8ecebacked August Holmgren25c51.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.935048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.173,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed August Holmgren30c48.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5931853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…5a73backed August Holmgren30c44.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.485860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.519260.9%56 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed August Holmgren27c39.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7512152.9%64 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon70c38.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.482,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Soon-Woo Kwon73c35.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4416136%58 W · 103 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c32.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0499255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Soon-Woo Kwon71c32.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Soon-Woo Kwon64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0131563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Soon-Woo Kwon70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.