TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dalibor Svrcinaof Dalibor Svrcina, Frederico Ferreira Silva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva17c8,901$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.417,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Frederico Ferreira Silva21c6,239$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Dalibor Svrcina77c3,500$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80553655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva18c2,657$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.112,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd242…7be8backed Frederico Ferreira Silva8c2,008$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Dalibor Svrcina76c1,974$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6862061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva17c1,771$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3629754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed Frederico Ferreira Silva4c1,409$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.18128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-59.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Frederico Ferreira Silva18c1,198$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7527931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Frederico Ferreira Silva26c1,100$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Frederico Ferreira Silva12c1,091$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.984,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva23c978.29$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0115040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva17c976.88$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2235032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva12c965.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.878,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c821.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18820844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dalibor Svrcina75c648.69$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.236,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Frederico Ferreira Silva15c633.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Frederico Ferreira Silva17c468.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.243,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Frederico Ferreira Silva26c461.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013432.8%44 W · 90 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Frederico Ferreira Silva21c426.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3939431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva19c372.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4220938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Dalibor Svrcina79c297.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.282,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d4…6297backed Frederico Ferreira Silva11c285.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Frederico Ferreira Silva12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.132937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva24c205.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.926434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva10c192$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c183$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0934549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed Frederico Ferreira Silva22c181.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva26c171$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.461,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Dalibor Svrcina75c156.55$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5584968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb267…d710backed Frederico Ferreira Silva15c151.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.433534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva10c150.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dalibor Svrcina79c130.12$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.022,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Frederico Ferreira Silva14c119.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0318330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Frederico Ferreira Silva9c117.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8585624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Dalibor Svrcina77c112$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7634242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…4375backed Frederico Ferreira Silva16c109.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa141…6744backed Frederico Ferreira Silva22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225712.3%7 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c91.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.971,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dalibor Svrcina66c88.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva18c88.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6856817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Frederico Ferreira Silva20c87.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0190340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Frederico Ferreira Silva22c83.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3560856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva20c82.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x467a…ee0dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva20c76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b2…fda3backed Dalibor Svrcina78c65.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.383100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Dalibor Svrcina77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c62.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Dalibor Svrcina80c62.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8663052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Dalibor Svrcina76c54.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Dalibor Svrcina76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Dalibor Svrcina79c33.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.131,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2d…8a14backed Dalibor Svrcina79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.384768.1%32 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Dalibor Svrcina76c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28572.9%62 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b3…cbe0backed Dalibor Svrcina79c26.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Dalibor Svrcina67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Dalibor Svrcina77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15c…a6b0backed Dalibor Svrcina76c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6728758.5%168 W · 119 L-1.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Dalibor Svrcina76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5349857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Dalibor Svrcina75c14.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5630672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.