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Tennis · resolved market

Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkacz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hubert Hurkaczof Emilio Nava, Hubert Hurkacz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Emilio Nava38c23,268$8,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,841.6812533.6%42 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hubert Hurkacz62c21,876$13,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,312.734136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed Emilio Nava12c18,522$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2553318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Emilio Nava0c14,423$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4212053.3%64 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hubert Hurkacz74c8,536$6,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.399,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hubert Hurkacz75c6,900$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.327,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c3,968$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.046,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Emilio Nava33c3,961$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.544040%16 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Emilio Nava42c3,632$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.117526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Emilio Nava38c2,649$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01221244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hubert Hurkacz79c1,650$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.554345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed Emilio Nava2c1,500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-59.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…78f3backed Hubert Hurkacz67c1,496$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Hubert Hurkacz64c1,466$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6352854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Emilio Nava8c1,451$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Hubert Hurkacz65c1,317$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.9294968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hubert Hurkacz74c1,286$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.253,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hubert Hurkacz74c1,151$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.595,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hubert Hurkacz61c1,011$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Emilio Nava36c917.81$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Emilio Nava33c829.32$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Emilio Nava33c604.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.260641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Hubert Hurkacz76c592.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.111,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hubert Hurkacz74c572.25$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.254,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Emilio Nava35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Hubert Hurkacz72c556.18$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0629533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hubert Hurkacz73c541.14$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.762,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Emilio Nava29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036740.6%149 W · 218 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Emilio Nava24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Hubert Hurkacz77c500$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Emilio Nava36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Emilio Nava35c499.86$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4430827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Emilio Nava40c450.15$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.716743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Hubert Hurkacz63c450$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.535264.2%226 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9461…6be0backed Emilio Nava35c449.14$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.968246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hubert Hurkacz62c430$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.477,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Emilio Nava40c425$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17015544.5%69 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Emilio Nava11c390.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313432.8%44 W · 90 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Hubert Hurkacz64c388.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9984963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hubert Hurkacz67c359.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.142,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Emilio Nava34c354.06$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Emilio Nava39c347.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13515742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hubert Hurkacz70c339.34$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.845,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Emilio Nava37c333.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12527936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Hubert Hurkacz64c311.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4673558.6%431 W · 304 L-26.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Emilio Nava35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10586050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Emilio Nava38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Hubert Hurkacz67c254.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.483661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Emilio Nava36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9039842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Hubert Hurkacz62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.941,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Hubert Hurkacz74c240$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.432,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Hubert Hurkacz71c224.28$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.836,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Hubert Hurkacz65c224.2$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.362,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Hubert Hurkacz67c213.26$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.514443.1%62 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…eb15backed Emilio Nava33c209.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696437.5%24 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Emilio Nava11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Hubert Hurkacz63c180.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5848144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Hubert Hurkacz62c167.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7435248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bac…0d22backed Hubert Hurkacz66c159.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.092552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Hubert Hurkacz63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7340264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Emilio Nava34c158.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8515040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Hubert Hurkacz62c155.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.936139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Emilio Nava34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a9f…4cc8backed Emilio Nava17c141.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.235036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Emilio Nava38c134.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Emilio Nava37c133.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Emilio Nava31c129.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Emilio Nava39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014813.5%20 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Hubert Hurkacz78c122.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.442,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hubert Hurkacz65c120.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2897745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Hubert Hurkacz61c116.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.261,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Hubert Hurkacz62c110.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.951,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Emilio Nava36c109.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3515147%71 W · 80 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Emilio Nava34c104.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5551339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb594…c1a0backed Hubert Hurkacz66c102.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.787768.8%53 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Emilio Nava34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Emilio Nava35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hubert Hurkacz70c99.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hubert Hurkacz65c88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.87,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Emilio Nava37c81.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Emilio Nava35c81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3519551.8%101 W · 94 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Emilio Nava38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3095846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hubert Hurkacz66c79.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.199,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Emilio Nava38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Emilio Nava28c76.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9728348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Emilio Nava38c74.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Hubert Hurkacz70c71.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.776434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Hubert Hurkacz70c71.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5383056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Emilio Nava31c71.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hubert Hurkacz74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b8…3eb6backed Emilio Nava37c68.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2091…5286backed Hubert Hurkacz67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Hubert Hurkacz63c58.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7349943.1%215 W · 284 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Emilio Nava35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Emilio Nava31c56.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Hubert Hurkacz69c55.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3860355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Hubert Hurkacz64c53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9840548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4a…3026backed Emilio Nava37c51.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9621353.5%114 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Hubert Hurkacz68c50.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1110972.5%79 W · 30 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Hubert Hurkacz63c50.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7630672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.