TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Leopoldo: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Juan Bautista Torres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Bautista Torresof Nicolas Alvarez Varona, Juan Bautista Torres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x627f…06dcbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona12c22,269$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.854744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona2c3,748$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.361,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cda…2de5backed Juan Bautista Torres67c3,380$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.746157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Bautista Torres57c1,944$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.296,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona45c1,457$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.972,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Juan Bautista Torres42c1,174$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3124638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Juan Bautista Torres70c1,050$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.792,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona30c1,043$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.91,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona40c973.57$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.981,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona53c864.32$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.162,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Juan Bautista Torres76c849.87$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.372,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Bautista Torres59c747.2$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.533,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Juan Bautista Torres37c537.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.261,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Juan Bautista Torres57c469.22$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2417655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona25c454.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.478,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona67c441.82$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0237071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…efbebacked Juan Bautista Torres73c371.56$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Juan Bautista Torres30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3310317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Juan Bautista Torres51c300.34$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.624,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Juan Bautista Torres72c283.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.398261%50 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona74c267.63$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona27c239.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.671,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Juan Bautista Torres59c205.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.761,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona42c197.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8390335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona27c195.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.921,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3998…7f0fbacked Juan Bautista Torres74c189.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.363762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona31c159.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Juan Bautista Torres32c154.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5172542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Juan Bautista Torres70c150.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.271,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Juan Bautista Torres41c144.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Bautista Torres50c139.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.881,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona30c138.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4760856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona28c115.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4810829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona27c110.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6571857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona65c108$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.221,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona28c100.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4150644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona25c82.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.533,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Juan Bautista Torres16c80.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.064413.6%6 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Juan Bautista Torres54c74.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Juan Bautista Torres48c71.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona31c63.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.743132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona31c63.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona43c63.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.127557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona60c62.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.186,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Juan Bautista Torres75c61.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4928762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Juan Bautista Torres30c57.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0911325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Juan Bautista Torres71c55.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0453457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Juan Bautista Torres73c54.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.622,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona26c53.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2427836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Juan Bautista Torres73c49.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.352070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona59c48.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8243062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona28c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Juan Bautista Torres73c45.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona38c45.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Juan Bautista Torres71c42.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3281457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Juan Bautista Torres74c42.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1344349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Juan Bautista Torres44c42.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5741658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Juan Bautista Torres44c42.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5761752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fd…54f4backed Juan Bautista Torres32c40.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+73.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Juan Bautista Torres73c40.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9639872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Juan Bautista Torres74c40.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4471165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Juan Bautista Torres72c39.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0647453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona60c37.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4725265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Bautista Torres37c36.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona59c35.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8637351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona61c33.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2826349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona60c32.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7184963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…a13ebacked Juan Bautista Torres74c30.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.871656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Juan Bautista Torres44c29.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6939955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Nicolas Alvarez Varona61c29.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9215258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Juan Bautista Torres69c27.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.731,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Juan Bautista Torres77c25.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9110474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed Juan Bautista Torres72c20.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.763357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7571…3bcbbacked Juan Bautista Torres75c19.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Juan Bautista Torres72c19.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5388273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Juan Bautista Torres72c16.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6218166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Juan Bautista Torres73c14.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8924274%179 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.