MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932c0fe9afdc7afbcad76fe7182fb78d8a0c9b17f6a524866b2d4b6c48a6c2f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Chicago Cubs, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 39,695$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 25,510$11,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,775.51 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 24,039$13,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,558.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 21,092$12,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 20,987$9,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,619.24 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 16,194$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 15,804$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,692.38 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 15,541$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 14,613$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 13,793$7,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970.75 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 13,597$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 12,833$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 9,272$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.94 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 8,662$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 7,999$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.46 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 7,709$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,981$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 6,633$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.65 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 5,543$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 5,347$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.28 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 4,516$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.31 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 4,040$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 4,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,795$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 3,715$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 3,632$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.96 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 3,560$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 3,527$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.47 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 3,336$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.85 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 3,292$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,248$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,908$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,832$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.92 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.75 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,699$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 2,546$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 15c | 2,508$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.04 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,453$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 2,386$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…e650backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,366$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 2,322$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.47 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,269$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 2,264$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.2 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,982$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.44 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 1,925$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,888$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.4 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,856$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,835$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,659$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.32 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 1,644$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,544$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,381$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.74 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.72 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Texas Rangers | 75c | 1,364$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.12 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,317$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.52 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,267$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.52 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,244$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,230$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.53 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,106$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.93 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 1,087$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,045$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,009$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.13 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,005$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.79 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.06 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 1,000$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4e82backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 986$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 957.44$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.02 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 946.8$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.74 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 895.66$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 860$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.64 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 718.93$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 681.64$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 662.6$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 650.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 636.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 621.02$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…0de7backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 555.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 543$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 542.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 494$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 480$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 458.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.