Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Alex Hernandez vs Nicolas Mejia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80e04efcf2e71beb2dcf221fd2d2d7a70b38631248cbbae915d89b03a690bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Mejiaof Alex Hernandez, Nicolas Mejia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Hernandez | 22c | 4,921$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Nicolas Mejia | 76c | 3,900$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Alex Hernandez | 15c | 3,462$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.82 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…83dcbacked Alex Hernandez | 15c | 3,185$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.41 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 3,134$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.79 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Alex Hernandez | 6c | 2,318$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 1,690$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alex Hernandez | 24c | 1,499$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Hernandez | 25c | 1,438$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.23 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Alex Hernandez | 21c | 1,113$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alex Hernandez | 21c | 1,050$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 1,033$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Alex Hernandez | 9c | 987.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Alex Hernandez | 30c | 932.83$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alex Hernandez | 5c | 895.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…7fecbacked Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 865.41$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 734.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Hernandez | 8c | 663.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Alex Hernandez | 5c | 598.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 73c | 406.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 302.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Alex Hernandez | 19c | 261.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nicolas Mejia | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Alex Hernandez | 5c | 202.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Hernandez | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 181.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Nicolas Mejia | 76c | 174.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Alex Hernandez | 12c | 166.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 164.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 76c | 156.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Alex Hernandez | 32c | 137.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Alex Hernandez | 14c | 133.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Nicolas Mejia | 77c | 103.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Alex Hernandez | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Alex Hernandez | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…adddbacked Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…11e2backed Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 68.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 64.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Nicolas Mejia | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nicolas Mejia | 77c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 17.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Luis Potosi: Alex Hernandez vs Nicolas Mejiathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hernandez vs MejiaMejia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.