NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a62502d2ebbc58822ffdb482f1439da6bce1c28f8082b5c41caa3f04f82bc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 2,390$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 59c | 1,860$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 60c | 547.7$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 430.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Under | 10c | 362$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 40c | 198.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 59c | 170.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 61c | 131.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 96.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 78.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 77.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…ac30backed Under | 40c | 57.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 53c | 56.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 59c | 46.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 59c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 71c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. DevilsCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.