NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0068d9ed63ce7630bc36b13e37bc9c8e736c87dcb06f443a152bf8fbe1516863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Canadiens, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 32c | 5,999$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.56 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Devils | 68c | 3,072$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Devils | 68c | 2,479$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.41 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 54c | 572.22$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 67c | 458.92$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b16abacked Canadiens | 33c | 441.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Canadiens | 32c | 385.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Devils | 66c | 318.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 33c | 305$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils | 67c | 213.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 68c | 196.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 184.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Devils | 68c | 183.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 68c | 173.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Devils | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 42c | 114.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Canadiens | 32c | 111.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Canadiens | 53c | 101.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Devils | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 44c | 98.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Canadiens | 45c | 94.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canadiens | 39c | 86.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Canadiens | 33c | 81.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Canadiens | 38c | 76.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Canadiens | 32c | 72.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Devils | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Devils | 68c | 65.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Devils | 67c | 65.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Canadiens | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Devils | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 31c | 58.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 33c | 58.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Devils | 26c | 55.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Devils | 69c | 51.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Devils | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 42c | 48.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Canadiens | 74c | 45.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…5cc2backed Canadiens | 33c | 40.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canadiens | 47c | 39.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Devils | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 53c | 32.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Devils | 68c | 31.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 69c | 29.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Devils | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Devils | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Canadiens | 43c | 28.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canadiens | 45c | 26.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Devils | 68c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Devils | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…2ccdbacked Canadiens | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Devils | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. DevilsCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.