Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc035784278e84af1b6416ea44126654e794a9cf18bec1143126ea78b67ddda17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 20c | 5,000$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.81 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 4,072$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,032$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…8bdcbacked Over | 51c | 586.88$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 43c | 467.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.17 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 363.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 80c | 304.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 46c | 217.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 150.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 120.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 41c | 110.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 96.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 56c | 67.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 59c | 29.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…fe3fbacked Over | 54c | 22.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…a381backed Over | 54c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…db60backed Over | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 72c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.