Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8914976018e11442e832371780489b14da12fe2ac0b49d7c427caaf819e38f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 12c | 3,183$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 2,230$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 2,108$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 1,986$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.58 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 65c | 1,832$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,810$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 18c | 1,740$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.35 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 1,568$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 1,418$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 19c | 1,410$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 24c | 1,187$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 64c | 1,064$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.92 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 13c | 961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 13c | 961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 946.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 57c | 876.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.08 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 853.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 13c | 581.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 42c | 556.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 16c | 529.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 25c | 391.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 385.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 13c | 288$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 14c | 285.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 24c | 211.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 13c | 196.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 75c | 155.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 13c | 148.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 142.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Over | 71c | 137.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 128.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 71c | 110.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 57c | 106.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 19c | 81.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 62c | 78.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 66.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…ce99backed Over | 76c | 63.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 56c | 52.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 68c | 50.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 72c | 39.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 72c | 36.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 74c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Over | 75c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.