Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0081b4f3df2eb0e2164e9acd4d1f427a688a1bfc6524e4eee9aa191b9b68357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Çaykur Rizesporof Fenerbahçe SK, Çaykur Rizespor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 1,102$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Çaykur Rizespor | 80c | 1,074$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Çaykur Rizespor | 72c | 956.53$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 665.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 607.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.81 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 9c | 493$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Çaykur Rizespor | 75c | 208.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Çaykur Rizespor | 76c | 207$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Çaykur Rizespor | 76c | 207$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Çaykur Rizespor | 71c | 173.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Çaykur Rizespor | 71c | 172.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Çaykur Rizespor | 71c | 172.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 138.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 26c | 124.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fenerbahçe SK | 23c | 101.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Fenerbahçe SK | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Çaykur Rizespor | 77c | 63.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Çaykur Rizespor | 75c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Çaykur Rizespor | 71c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Çaykur Rizespor | 70c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.