NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b35f2d52e9cea3403451c4b725024ff43defbe1c3efc06d491b735e437106ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 59c | 5,234$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.21 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 2,554$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 2,348$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.09 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,634$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 62c | 850.87$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 40c | 844.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 741.44$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Over | 60c | 665.27$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Over | 58c | 382.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 360.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 60c | 264$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over | 60c | 234.81$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 60c | 232.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 58c | 213$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 208.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 45c | 181.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…bfbcbacked Under | 41c | 169$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 20c | 162.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Over | 60c | 155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 41c | 146.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 41c | 89.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 56c | 75.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Under | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 57c | 69.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 68.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 68.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 38c | 67.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 55.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 46c | 53.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 52.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 48c | 52.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…f42bbacked Under | 28c | 49.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…b85fbacked Over | 56c | 48.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 60c | 47.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 43c | 47.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 60c | 44.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Under | 42c | 40.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 74c | 40.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Under | 43c | 37.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Under | 43c | 36.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…95f9backed Under | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 41c | 29.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 56c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb5…b700backed Over | 60c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 58c | 17.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…1e2ebacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. UtahUtah won
- Predators vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.