TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2a…3706backed Over39c14,468$5,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,825.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c5,880$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under61c5,860$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.364971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c5,700$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,535.4618923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under61c3,418$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.046365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Under64c3,053$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under58c1,947$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over30c1,597$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.679054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Over38c1,204$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.175131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over73c1,070$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.611964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under63c977.55$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.765358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under61c976.6$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.736369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over37c899.24$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.522941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under61c781.28$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.586465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under61c781.28$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.586070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c685.46$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.821,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over40c631.19$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8311349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under49c585$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.433915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c581.58$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under48c575.23$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.11520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under61c488.3$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.866167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under61c488.3$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.865867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under62c485$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.714258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over42c411.55$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under61c410.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.28360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under61c410.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.27358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c385.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.082347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under61c361.34$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.426861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over37c356.52$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6112351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c353.79$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7310759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over55c353.05$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.431070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under36c325.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under62c300$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under48c299.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over37c294.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.633366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under61c292.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.725168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over35c279.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c266.51$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9231051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under62c239.96$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7736456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over37c237.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under19c236.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9113350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over37c227$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.015642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c224.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over49c199.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8414231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Under60c198.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.696850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under61c195.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.154472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over39c191.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over34c188.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over70c186.58$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9710361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over38c181.51$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over45c173$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6121748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under62c149.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.963148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over36c134.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.543053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over66c118.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under60c105.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over37c105.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.634445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under38c101.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.061833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Over38c95.84$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under28c89.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4214…1749backed Under31c88.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c87.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over70c84.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.344271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over40c76.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.967646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over39c75.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5831958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0419353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under19c59.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Over37c52.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under63c46.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over34c46.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.558232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over37c42.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.799045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Over38c38.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over44c34.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.774852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under62c31.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.547665.8%50 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under63c31.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.566637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under63c31.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5610456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under63c24.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5413653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under63c24.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.547548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under61c23.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under62c23.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under62c23.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4414159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under62c23.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under62c23.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under62c23.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.447846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under62c23.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4417354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under62c22.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under62c22.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.245154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over71c21.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc231…a519backed Over70c17.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Under62c17.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under60c17.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.