Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4d22c67182393619eba17a594cc99def4ec9658a82edff4aaeea387a83962e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 3c | 4,598$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 3,342$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.83 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 19c | 3,188$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.57 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,290$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…73b8backed Over | 39c | 1,234$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 1,103$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.79 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 38c | 1,085$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Over | 18c | 907.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 761.29$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 671.7$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.53 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 35c | 472.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 65c | 462$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 54c | 446.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 431.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 49c | 395.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 57c | 393.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.14 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 304.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 282.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 253.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 38c | 240.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 230.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 22c | 184.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 53c | 181.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 162.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 27c | 162.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 53c | 143.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 68c | 72.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 56.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 79c | 42.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 42c | 39.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 77c | 31.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 70c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 76c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.