Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04694900107bcf771c9cf323243b5ec594d9c9a4b788f9dc36a15223086755c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 7,054$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 3,275$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 38c | 2,555$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 1,556$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.22 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,553$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 79c | 1,257$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 50c | 1,205$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Over | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 740.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 726.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 48c | 427.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 308.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 72c | 193.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 51c | 193.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 48c | 170.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 169.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 78c | 145.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 136.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 65c | 107.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 58c | 105.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Under | 24c | 85.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 84.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Over | 48c | 82.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 78c | 66.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Under | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 53.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 51c | 53.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 50.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 53c | 47.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked Over | 75c | 43.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 42.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 30c | 39.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 73c | 34.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 33.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 32.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Over | 49c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 78c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 78c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 78c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 21.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 51c | 20.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 78c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.