Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f1b589ee702dfe9ed839669e82ca2b8b7cb531dc41e9c0118323b6ed975c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 65c | 6,151$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 5,716$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 27c | 1,275$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.23 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 886.52$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 61c | 640.76$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 519.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 63c | 370.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 12c | 306.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 245.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Under | 78c | 179.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 171.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 38c | 169.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 22c | 115.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 38c | 113.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 106.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Under | 79c | 106.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 20c | 103.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 18c | 94.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 91.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 24c | 72.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 61.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…7c1cbacked Under | 79c | 52.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 22c | 50.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…5ec1backed Under | 79c | 48.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0055…b43bbacked Under | 79c | 41.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 40c | 29.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 70c | 14.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.