Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c0f7fb421a6b6e7370dcda92f70067c61d4680e8293a8d807e065b805debc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Under | 0c | 10,184$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under | 0c | 7,770$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 5,456$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 4,947$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.86 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 75c | 2,638$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 2,245$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.58 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 67c | 2,170$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 42c | 1,568$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,384$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 45c | 1,194$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.69 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…3e03backed Under | 50c | 1,044$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 889.23$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.72 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Under | 49c | 753.42$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 663.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.72 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 572.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 514.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 26c | 500.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.6 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 47c | 461.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 57c | 427.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 310.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.79 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 46c | 299.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 234.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 220.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 25c | 196.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over | 45c | 191.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…6165backed Over | 51c | 188.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 44c | 164.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 163.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 23c | 145.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Under | 78c | 113.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 27c | 109.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 56c | 82.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 46c | 78.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Under | 78c | 78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 50c | 68.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 61.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 55.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 58c | 49.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 26c | 46.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 49c | 45.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 40.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 62c | 38.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…45febacked Under | 56c | 38.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 58c | 36.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…8845backed Under | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Over | 40c | 26.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…911cbacked Under | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 25.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…c36ebacked Under | 72c | 14.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.