Us Politics · resolved market
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41eb18ebd9df8d99e4e8528104d3d7d7e6bcb014209448f2fe271cf8dc7052b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 2c | 6,277$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 2c | 5,960$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…3f17backed Yes | 3c | 3,569$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…5958backed Yes | 9c | 2,462$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 3c | 2,407$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…522abacked Yes | 1c | 2,319$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,086$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 5c | 2,044$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…92edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,718$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,673$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 4c | 1,569$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,522$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a3cbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,519$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 2c | 1,314$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…f245backed Yes | 8c | 1,291$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,262$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 7c | 1,249$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,209$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5ab6backed Yes | 8c | 1,180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 9c | 1,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,062$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,055$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…c460backed Yes | 5c | 1,054$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,052$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 2c | 972.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 901.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 849.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 18c | 813.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…3041backed Yes | 19c | 802.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 780.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 8c | 723.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 9c | 697.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 7c | 693.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 650$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…3bcdbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 2c | 547.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 527.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 526.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 503.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed Yes | 17c | 480$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 440$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…8260backed Yes | 5c | 439$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…60c4backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…2a33backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 12c | 399.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…0139backed Yes | 17c | 349.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…ca72backed Yes | 3c | 336.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…308bbacked Yes | 6c | 334.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e302backed Yes | 7c | 333.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19e…b2edbacked Yes | 7c | 333.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 3c | 330.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Yes | 8c | 323.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed Yes | 32c | 315.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…3681backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 8c | 306.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…69f6backed Yes | 10c | 301.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 268.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 268.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 6c | 265.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 15c | 251.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…4a20backed Yes | 8c | 247.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 230.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…8a38backed Yes | 10c | 222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…e847backed Yes | 5c | 219.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…f376backed Yes | 11c | 175.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…21aabacked Yes | 6c | 159.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…a74abacked Yes | 16c | 126.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…465dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…99d3backed Yes | 31c | 80.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…45d4backed Yes | 17c | 73.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…c81abacked Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…4cd6backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 25c | 47.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 69c | 41.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 73c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…0fbbbacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…e345backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 80c | 37.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.